actually i lowered the smokers heat from 225 to 212 and in the last hour it went up 3 degrees, so currently butts are at 182degree and it is 8:30 am. i would love to pull them at 205 degrees and wrap and ut in dry cooler at around 3pm however i dont think that is going to work unless of course your correct and they really slow down and barley creep up in tempature untill closer to 3pm?